Do dividend stocks do well in a recession?
High-dividend-yield stocks can be a great place to invest in a downturn. For investors looking to protect their capital, a high dividend yield provides a safety buffer in uncertain markets.
The best recession stocks include consumer staples, utilities and healthcare companies, all of which produce goods and services that consumers can't do without, no matter how bad the economy gets.
Treasury Bonds
Investors often gravitate toward Treasurys as a safe haven during recessions, as these are considered risk-free instruments.
Stocks and mutual funds that distribute dividends are generally on sound financial ground, but not always. Stocks that pay dividends typically provide stability to a portfolio but may not outperform high-quality growth stocks.
- Verizon Communications VZ.
- Johnson & Johnson JNJ.
- Philip Morris International PM.
- Altria Group MO.
- Comcast CMCSA.
- Medtronic MDT.
- Pioneer Natural Resources PXD.
- Duke Energy DUK.
Key Takeaways. During a recession, most investors should avoid investing in companies that are highly leveraged, cyclical, or speculative, as these companies pose the biggest risk of doing poorly during tough economic times.
- Cut living expenses. ...
- Build an emergency fund. ...
- Develop new skills. ...
- Speak with a financial adviser. ...
- Create passive income sources. ...
- Start a business. ...
- Consumer staples. ...
- Bonds.
Where is your money safest during a recession? Many investors turn to conservative asset classes such as bonds during recessionary periods. Mutual funds may also be a useful area to consider, and so may established, large-cap companies with strong balance sheets and cash flow.
Cash: Offers liquidity, allowing you to cover expenses or seize investment opportunities. Property: Can provide rental income and potential long-term appreciation, but selling might be difficult during an economic downturn.
Dividend Stock | Current Dividend Yield* | Analysts' Implied Upside* |
---|---|---|
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 3.1% | 25.3% |
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) | 2.4% | 10.6% |
Chevron Corp. (CVX) | 4% | 30.8% |
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) | 3.3% | 18.1% |
When should I buy a dividend stock?
If you're investing a large amount, it's a good idea to find out if any dividends are coming up. If so, consider investing your money once that date has passed. This is one of the only situations when it might make sense to "time" your investment, and it only applies to large sums of money.
Stock | Trailing annual dividend yield* |
---|---|
Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) | 5.9% |
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) | 5.9% |
Boston Properties Inc. (BXP) | 6.2% |
Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) | 6.2% |
Stock | Dividend yield | Dividend growth streak |
---|---|---|
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) | 2.4% | 68 years |
3M Co. (MMM) | 6.5% | 65 years |
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) | 3.3% | 61 years |
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) | 3.2% | 61 years |
- ARMOUR Residential REIT – 20.7%
- Orchid Island Capital – 17.8%
- AGNC Investment – 14.8%
- Oxford Square Capital – 13.7%
- Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT – 13.2%
- SLR Investment – 11.5%
- PennantPark Floating Rate Capital – 10%
- Main Street Capital – 7%
What Is a Good Dividend Yield? Yields from 2% to 6% are generally considered to be a good dividend yield, but there are plenty of factors to consider when deciding if a stock's yield makes it a good investment. Your own investment goals should also play a big role in deciding what a good dividend yield is for you.
According to Arnott, “dividend-paying stocks have held up better than average during some but not all recent recessions.” In particular, dividend stocks did better than average during recessions in 1980, 1981-82, 1990-91. They did worse than average in 2001, 2007-09 and 2020.
It becomes a bit more important to focus on top-quality companies in turbulent times, but, for the most part, you should approach investing in a recession in the same manner you would approach investing any other time. Buy high-quality companies or funds and hold on to them for as long as they stay that way.
If you're able to increase investments in the stock market during a downturn, it can be a great way to boost your long-term returns and achieve your investment goals.
There are many reasons why it's better for investors to not sell into a bear market and stay in for the long term. This is why it's important to understand your risk tolerance, your time horizon, and how the market works during downturns.
Companies in the business of providing tools and materials for home improvement, maintenance, and repair projects are likely to see stable or even increasing demand during a recession. So do many appliance repair service people. New home builders, though, do not get in on the action.
What are the CDs and should I invest my money in them during recession?
CDs are a relatively risk-free way to grow your funds, but they also have some downsides. Mapping out plans to build your savings can be challenging, especially when interest rates fluctuate. A certificate of deposit (CD) is a good alternative if you're risk-averse when it comes to investing.
Contrary to investor expectations, several growth stocks including Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) grew during the 2008 recession, so investors don't have to ignore growth stocks to be conservative.
For investors, “cash is king during a recession” sums up the advantages of keeping liquid assets on hand when the economy turns south. From weathering rough markets to going all-in on discounted investments, investors can leverage cash to improve their financial positions.
Lower prices — A recession often hits after a long period of sky-high consumer prices. At the onset of a recession, these prices suddenly drop, balancing out previous long inflationary costs. As a result, people on fixed incomes can benefit from new, lower prices, including real estate sales.
What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.
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